Benfica vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 1
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SLB
3 - 2
MAR
66%
22%
13%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
VST
0 - 4
SLB
18%
23%
58%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SLB
0 - 1
ACA
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
EST
1 - 2
SLB
18%
24%
59%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 1
BEL
33%
30%
37%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 0
TRO
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
TRO
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
TRO
1 - 2
NAC
29%
30%
41%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
TRO
65%
23%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |