Benfica vs Torreense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.4%
Win probability
4.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.2%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.5%
6-0
5.8%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.2%
5-0
8.6%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.8%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11%
5.2%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.2%
2.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
BEL
0 - 6
SLB
21%
21%
57%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
SLB
7 - 0
SPB
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
ACA
2 - 2
SLB
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1964 |
LAC
1 - 1
SLB
21%
20%
59%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
SLB
1 - 1
FAB
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
TOR
1 - 2
LGC
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
BEL
1 - 0
TOR
74%
16%
11%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
TOR
1 - 3
VIT
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
SPB
4 - 0
TOR
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
TOR
0 - 1
SEI
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |