Benfica vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
5.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
CHA
0 - 3
SLB
23%
27%
51%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1991 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPB
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
FAM
1 - 3
SLB
17%
26%
57%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
SLB
1 - 0
MAR
79%
16%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
NAC
0 - 2
SLB
18%
27%
55%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
TIR
0 - 0
SCP
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1991 |
FCP
2 - 1
TIR
85%
10%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
TIR
3 - 2
FAR
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
TIR
2 - 1
POR
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
SPB
1 - 2
TIR
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |