Benfica vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
95%
Win probability
4.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.7%
+10
0.7%
9-0
1.5%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.8%
8-0
2.9%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.7%
7-0
5.1%
8-1
1.5%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.8%
6-0
7.8%
7-1
2.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
10.8%
5-0
10.4%
6-1
4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
15%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
3.2%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
1.5%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
3.2%
1.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
0.9%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
SAN
1 - 2
SLB
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
SLB
2 - 1
SAN
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1968 |
SLB
3 - 0
VAS
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
LEX
0 - 2
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1968 |
VAS
0 - 0
SLB
38%
23%
40%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
TIR
3 - 2
FCB
69%
17%
14%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
VIT
1 - 0
TIR
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
TIR
2 - 0
VAR
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
FCP
9 - 0
TIR
86%
10%
5%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
TIR
3 - 5
SCP
17%
22%
62%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |