Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1990 |
DNI
0 - 3
SLB
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1990 |
POR
2 - 3
SLB
18%
29%
53%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCP
55%
25%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1990 |
SLB
1 - 0
DNI
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1990 |
PEN
0 - 4
SLB
14%
30%
56%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
SCP
1 - 1
CHA
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1990 |
SCP
1 - 0
POR
80%
15%
5%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
FCP
3 - 2
SCP
55%
24%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
SCP
2 - 1
PEN
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1990 |
NAC
1 - 1
SCP
16%
22%
63%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |