Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1987 |
SPB
1 - 1
SLB
18%
26%
56%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
59%
23%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
BEL
1 - 1
SLB
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
SLB
4 - 0
POR
80%
15%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
SLB
1 - 1
POR
83%
13%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1987 |
SCP
1 - 1
VIT
77%
16%
8%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
SCP
1 - 0
OEL
88%
8%
4%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
FCP
0 - 1
SCP
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
FAR
2 - 1
SCP
20%
25%
55%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |