Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
SLB
6 - 0
ATL
88%
8%
3%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
FCP
0 - 1
SLB
39%
25%
36%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
SLB
4 - 1
CDM
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1977 |
BMA
2 - 2
SLB
13%
22%
65%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
SLB
3 - 1
LEX
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
BEL
0 - 1
SCP
29%
27%
45%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1977 |
SCP
0 - 0
BOA
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
VST
1 - 0
SCP
35%
26%
40%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1977 |
SCP
2 - 0
ACA
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
EST
0 - 1
SCP
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |