Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
ACA
1 - 1
SLB
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
SLB
6 - 0
SAN
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
FAB
2 - 0
SLB
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
SLB
5 - 0
TIR
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
SAN
1 - 2
SLB
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
SCP
3 - 0
FCB
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
VIT
1 - 0
SCP
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
SCP
1 - 0
VAR
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
FCP
0 - 1
SCP
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1968 |
SCP
1 - 0
ZUR
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |