Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.1%
17.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1963 |
SCP
0 - 1
SLB
62%
18%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1963 |
SLB
5 - 0
MAR
92%
6%
3%
|
88 | 28 | 60 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 3
SLB
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 28 | 60 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1963 |
ACM
2 - 1
SLB
67%
17%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
LGC
1 - 3
SLB
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1963 |
SCP
0 - 1
SLB
62%
18%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1963 |
SCP
4 - 2
MAX
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
MAX
1 - 3
SCP
26%
22%
52%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
ATL
0 - 2
SCP
30%
22%
49%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
SCP
10 - 0
ATL
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |