Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
BEL
2 - 1
SLB
39%
22%
39%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
SLB
1 - 0
LGC
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
ACA
0 - 1
SLB
23%
22%
56%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
SLB
2 - 3
FCP
60%
20%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
CAL
3 - 2
SLB
9%
16%
75%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
SCP
2 - 2
VST
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
SAL
0 - 1
SCP
13%
17%
70%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
SCP
6 - 1
TOR
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
FAB
3 - 3
SCP
21%
22%
57%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
SCP
3 - 0
SPB
85%
9%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |