Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
24%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
LGC
0 - 1
SLB
18%
20%
62%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
SLB
3 - 0
CAL
92%
6%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
FCB
2 - 4
SLB
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
SPC
2 - 4
SLB
22%
21%
58%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
SLB
7 - 1
SPB
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
SCP
4 - 2
SPB
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
ATL
0 - 2
SCP
20%
21%
60%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
SCP
2 - 0
VST
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
TOR
0 - 0
SCP
19%
19%
62%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
SCP
3 - 0
FAB
88%
8%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |