Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.9%
20.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
SLB
6 - 0
ACA
85%
10%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1955 |
SPB
1 - 4
SLB
32%
22%
46%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
SLB
5 - 0
FCB
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
SLB
3 - 0
ATL
85%
9%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
ACA
3 - 7
SLB
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
SCP
4 - 1
FAR
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1955 |
LGC
1 - 2
SCP
28%
21%
51%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
SCP
4 - 2
LEX
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 44 | 44 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
BEL
2 - 2
SCP
39%
22%
39%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
SCP
4 - 0
SPC
90%
7%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |