Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
SLB
0 - 0
BEL
81%
12%
8%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
FCB
1 - 1
SLB
18%
19%
63%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
SLB
9 - 0
SAL
95%
4%
2%
|
88 | 49 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
SPB
1 - 6
SLB
17%
19%
64%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
SLB
5 - 2
ORI
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
ATL
2 - 5
SCP
29%
21%
50%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
SCP
6 - 2
SPC
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
FCP
2 - 2
SCP
39%
21%
40%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
SCP
3 - 1
BOA
88%
7%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
VIT
1 - 2
SCP
21%
20%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |