Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.5%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
6%
4-3
2.7%
5-4
0.7%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
3.8%
4-4
1.3%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
17.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1947 |
BEL
2 - 1
SLB
46%
20%
34%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1947 |
SLB
3 - 0
ATL
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
FAM
1 - 5
SLB
17%
17%
67%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
SLB
13 - 1
SAN
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
OLH
1 - 6
SLB
27%
20%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1947 |
SCP
4 - 1
BOA
94%
4%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1947 |
VST
1 - 1
SCP
18%
18%
65%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
SCP
9 - 1
SLE
90%
6%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
ACA
1 - 3
SCP
19%
17%
64%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
FCP
2 - 4
SCP
33%
19%
48%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |