Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1942 |
BEL
4 - 0
SLB
51%
21%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
SLB
5 - 1
FCP
56%
19%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
OLH
2 - 3
SLB
11%
16%
73%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
SLB
4 - 1
ACA
76%
14%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1942 |
UNI
2 - 4
SLB
18%
19%
64%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1942 |
SCP
4 - 1
CAR
98%
2%
1%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
LEC
0 - 3
SCP
3%
9%
88%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
SCP
7 - 1
FCB
94%
4%
2%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
VIT
1 - 2
SCP
22%
19%
59%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1942 |
SCP
11 - 2
APO
97%
2%
1%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |