Benfica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.8%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.4%
5-0
8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.5%
2.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
18%
25%
57%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
SLB
3 - 1
VIT
84%
12%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 2
SLB
11%
24%
65%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCP
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
SLB
1 - 0
BOA
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
POR
4 - 0
SPC
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
SPC
1 - 1
VST
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
VIT
5 - 0
SPC
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
SPC
2 - 1
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
SPC
2 - 0
FCP
13%
23%
64%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | +2 |