Benfica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
SLB
3 - 1
VST
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1961 |
RAP
1 - 1
SLB
43%
21%
36%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
FCP
3 - 2
SLB
56%
20%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1961 |
SLB
3 - 0
RAP
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
SLB
7 - 1
SPB
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
SPC
2 - 1
FCB
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
BEL
0 - 1
SPC
82%
11%
6%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 1
ACA
50%
24%
25%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 3
FCP
22%
24%
53%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
SPB
3 - 0
SPC
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |