Benfica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
SCP
1 - 0
SLB
59%
19%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
SLB
2 - 2
LGC
83%
11%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
ACA
0 - 0
SLB
19%
20%
62%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
SLB
3 - 0
TOR
85%
10%
6%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
FCB
2 - 4
SLB
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
SPC
0 - 1
ACA
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
TOR
5 - 0
SPC
49%
22%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
FCB
3 - 2
SPC
53%
22%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
SPC
2 - 0
VST
52%
21%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
ORI
2 - 0
SPC
53%
22%
25%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |