Benfica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
3.74
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.8%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.7%
4.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
FAB
0 - 1
SLB
12%
16%
72%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
SLB
11 - 0
BOA
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
LGC
0 - 2
SLB
21%
20%
59%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
18%
20%
62%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
SLB
5 - 0
VST
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
SPC
2 - 1
VIT
60%
20%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
VST
4 - 0
SPC
59%
21%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
SPC
1 - 3
ATL
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
ACA
5 - 1
SPC
50%
23%
28%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
SPC
1 - 1
FCB
59%
21%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |