Benfica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.75
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
FCB
1 - 1
SLB
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
SLB
2 - 2
VIT
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
ORI
0 - 0
SLB
10%
15%
75%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
SLB
2 - 0
ATL
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
BOA
1 - 3
SLB
20%
20%
60%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
SPC
3 - 0
VST
49%
23%
29%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
FCB
0 - 0
SPC
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
SPC
2 - 4
SPB
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
VIT
2 - 0
SPC
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
SPC
4 - 0
LGC
46%
23%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |