Benfica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
3.77
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.8%
4.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
EST
0 - 2
SLB
19%
20%
62%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
SLB
4 - 0
ATL
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
LGC
0 - 3
SLB
22%
19%
59%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
SLB
3 - 0
FCB
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
38%
21%
41%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
SPC
1 - 2
BEL
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1952 |
SCP
3 - 0
SPC
90%
7%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
SPC
1 - 5
VST
60%
20%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
BOA
4 - 1
SPC
51%
22%
27%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
SPC
4 - 0
VIT
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |