Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 9-2
Benfica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1952 |
SLB
8 - 2
EST
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
EST
0 - 1
SLB
28%
20%
52%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
76%
14%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
BOA
0 - 3
SLB
19%
19%
63%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
SLB
1 - 0
VIT
89%
8%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1952 |
SPC
5 - 0
BOA
62%
18%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
BOA
2 - 0
SPC
58%
19%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
ATL
5 - 0
SPC
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
SPC
0 - 0
ACA
61%
19%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
SPC
0 - 0
FCP
35%
24%
41%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |