Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 9-6
Benfica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.89
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.4%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.8%
4.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
24%
20%
56%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
SLB
4 - 0
OLH
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
BOA
1 - 1
SLB
20%
19%
61%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
SLB
5 - 0
VIT
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
EST
0 - 7
SLB
24%
20%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1951 |
SPC
5 - 1
ATL
46%
22%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
BEL
2 - 1
SPC
75%
14%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
SPC
0 - 1
ORI
68%
16%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
VST
2 - 3
SPC
45%
22%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
ACA
5 - 1
SPC
56%
19%
26%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |