Benfica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93%
Win probability
4.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.3%
8-0
2.1%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.8%
7-0
3.8%
8-1
1.4%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.4%
6-0
6.2%
7-1
2.5%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
<0%
+6
9.2%
5-0
8.6%
6-1
4.1%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13.6%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.8%
4.6%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
4.6%
1.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
VST
1 - 2
SLB
12%
17%
71%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
SLB
2 - 1
LUS
94%
4%
2%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
SLB
0 - 2
BEL
71%
15%
13%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1948 |
OLH
2 - 1
SLB
25%
20%
55%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
SPB
3 - 4
SLB
17%
18%
66%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
SPC
1 - 2
BEL
10%
17%
74%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1949 |
SPC
2 - 0
SPB
46%
23%
32%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
OLH
4 - 0
SPC
82%
11%
7%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1948 |
BOA
2 - 1
SPC
68%
17%
16%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
OEL
0 - 1
SPC
76%
14%
10%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |