Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 13-0
Benfica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1941 |
SPC
0 - 5
SLB
28%
21%
51%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1941 |
SLB
3 - 2
UNI
88%
8%
5%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
FCP
5 - 2
SLB
66%
17%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
SLB
2 - 4
SCP
54%
20%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1941 |
SPC
0 - 5
SLB
28%
21%
51%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
SPC
0 - 6
BEL
34%
22%
44%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
BEL
7 - 0
SPC
79%
12%
9%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
SPC
2 - 3
ACA
57%
20%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
ACA
5 - 1
SPC
58%
19%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -2 |