Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ARO
0 - 3
SLB
16%
23%
61%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
SLB
3 - 0
FAM
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
SLB
4 - 1
AVE
90%
8%
2%
|
89 | 43 | 46 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SPB
0 - 1
SLB
41%
24%
34%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
RBS
1 - 3
SLB
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 1
VIT
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 3
SPB
13%
20%
67%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 3
SPB
9%
15%
76%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SPB
0 - 1
SLB
41%
24%
34%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 0
SPB
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |