Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.2%
Win probability
3.95
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.1%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.5%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.1%
4-0
10%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.9%
2.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
SLB
4 - 2
VIT
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1965 |
SLB
3 - 2
LSO
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
LEX
0 - 1
SLB
19%
21%
60%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
SLB
8 - 2
FCB
92%
6%
2%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
BMA
1 - 1
SLB
12%
16%
71%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 1
LEX
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
FCB
2 - 1
SPB
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
SPB
3 - 1
BMA
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
SCP
5 - 0
SPB
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
SPB
2 - 1
LGC
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |