Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 13-1
Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.6%
Win probability
4.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.2%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.6%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.1%
4-0
9%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.8%
6.1%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.1%
3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 4
SLB
23%
21%
56%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
OLH
2 - 3
SLB
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
SLB
4 - 1
OLH
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1965 |
INT
1 - 0
SLB
69%
16%
15%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1965 |
SLB
3 - 0
FAB
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 4
SLB
23%
21%
56%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
SPB
4 - 1
SAN
77%
13%
10%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
SAN
2 - 3
SPB
42%
22%
36%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
SPB
2 - 1
MIC
91%
7%
3%
|
59 | 18 | 41 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
MIC
0 - 1
SPB
18%
20%
62%
|
59 | 18 | 41 | 0 |