Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.2%
Win probability
3.89
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.1%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.5%
3.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
ACA
2 - 2
SLB
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1964 |
LAC
1 - 1
SLB
21%
20%
59%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
SLB
1 - 1
FAB
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
LEX
1 - 1
SLB
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
SLB
3 - 0
SCP
70%
16%
15%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
SPB
1 - 2
BEL
42%
26%
31%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
SPB
4 - 0
TOR
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
ACA
2 - 1
SPB
64%
20%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
SPB
2 - 1
FAB
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
LEX
2 - 1
SPB
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |