Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
VST
2 - 3
SLB
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1960 |
BEL
0 - 0
SLB
42%
23%
35%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
SLB
1 - 1
LEX
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
SCP
1 - 1
SLB
53%
21%
26%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
SLB
2 - 1
FCP
56%
21%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
SPB
3 - 1
BOA
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1960 |
SPB
0 - 0
LGC
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
VIT
1 - 0
SPB
69%
17%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
VST
5 - 1
SPB
61%
20%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
SPB
1 - 4
BEL
29%
24%
46%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |