Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.67
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
36%
22%
42%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
FAB
0 - 1
SLB
12%
16%
72%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
SLB
11 - 0
BOA
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
LGC
0 - 2
SLB
21%
20%
59%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
SPB
3 - 1
VIT
65%
19%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
VST
4 - 1
SPB
57%
21%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
SPB
4 - 2
ATL
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
ACA
4 - 1
SPB
50%
22%
28%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
SPB
4 - 0
FCB
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |