Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
3.9
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.6%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.9%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.9%
3.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
LGC
0 - 2
SLB
22%
20%
58%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1953 |
SLB
5 - 0
FCP
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1953 |
VIT
1 - 3
SLB
26%
21%
53%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1953 |
SLB
3 - 1
VIT
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1953 |
SLB
6 - 0
FCB
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
SPB
2 - 0
FCB
40%
24%
36%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
LGC
4 - 1
SPB
61%
18%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
SPB
0 - 4
LGC
43%
22%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
VIT
3 - 2
SPB
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
SPB
4 - 1
SPC
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |