Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90%
Win probability
4.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
1.4%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.6%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
2.7%
8-2
0.7%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.1%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
4.3%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
6.1%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.3%
6.1%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.1%
3.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1947 |
SLB
6 - 2
BOA
94%
4%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
20%
19%
61%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1947 |
SLB
3 - 2
SLE
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1947 |
ACA
3 - 3
SLB
20%
18%
62%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1947 |
SLB
3 - 1
SCP
57%
18%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1943 |
LIS
4 - 0
SPB
27%
22%
51%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |