Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 4-1
Benfica vs Spartak Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.7%
Win probability
4.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.2%
7-0
3.2%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.5%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
8%
5-0
8%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.6%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
5.5%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.5%
2.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1966 |
SPA
1 - 1
SLB
17%
21%
63%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
SLB
2 - 1
ACA
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
ATL
1 - 2
SLB
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
SLB
3 - 0
SCP
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
VAR
0 - 0
SLB
19%
19%
62%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
SPA
4 - 0
BER
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1966 |
SPA
1 - 1
SLB
17%
21%
63%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
FKM
2 - 0
SPA
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
SPA
0 - 1
LPL
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
SPA
2 - 0
BVR
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |