Benfica vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
SLB
2 - 0
OLH
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
BMA
1 - 3
SLB
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
HAP
3 - 0
SLB
31%
24%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SLB
4 - 0
NAV
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
FCP
5 - 0
SLB
44%
24%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
S04
2 - 0
BYM
22%
24%
54%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
KAI
5 - 0
S04
26%
27%
48%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
S04
3 - 0
LYO
34%
27%
40%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
S04
4 - 0
BRE
32%
25%
43%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
WOL
2 - 2
S04
50%
24%
26%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |