Benfica vs Olhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
UDL
0 - 3
SLB
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 0
MAR
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
SLB
5 - 2
RIO
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPB
59%
23%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2010 |
SLB
1 - 2
S04
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 1
OLH
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
AVE
3 - 2
OLH
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
OLH
0 - 0
NAC
32%
28%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
SLB
2 - 0
OLH
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
OLH
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |