Benfica vs Salzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VIZ
1 - 2
SLB
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SLB
4 - 0
VIT
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GFC
2 - 3
SLB
14%
21%
66%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SLB
2 - 0
ESA
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
BOA
3 - 2
SLB
13%
21%
67%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
STR
2 - 2
RBS
39%
24%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
RBS
2 - 0
RAP
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 2
RBS
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 5
RBS
33%
24%
43%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
RBS
2 - 0
AUS
43%
24%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |