Benfica vs SC Salgueiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
LEX
1 - 2
SLB
30%
23%
47%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1961 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
SLB
57%
20%
23%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
SLB
54%
20%
26%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1961 |
SLB
1 - 0
PEÑ
87%
8%
5%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1961 |
VST
4 - 1
SLB
18%
20%
62%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
SAL
1 - 2
ACA
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
FCP
1 - 2
SAL
79%
12%
9%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
SAL
2 - 3
SPB
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
SCP
2 - 1
SAL
79%
12%
9%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
SAL
1 - 0
FAB
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |