Benfica vs SC Salgueiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94%
Win probability
4.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.6%
+10
0.6%
9-0
1.4%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.8%
8-0
2.6%
9-1
0.9%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.7%
7-0
4.6%
8-1
1.7%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.6%
6-0
6.9%
7-1
3%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
10.5%
5-0
8.9%
6-1
4.6%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
14.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.3%
3.7%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
1.5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
3.7%
1.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
SPB
1 - 6
SLB
17%
19%
64%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
SLB
5 - 2
ORI
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
25%
19%
56%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
ATL
3 - 4
SLB
27%
20%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
SLB
4 - 1
SPC
86%
9%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
SAL
1 - 5
ATL
27%
21%
52%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
SPC
2 - 0
SAL
80%
11%
8%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
SAL
1 - 4
FCP
21%
19%
59%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
BOA
4 - 1
SAL
77%
13%
10%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
SAL
2 - 1
VIT
56%
20%
25%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |