Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 11-5
Benfica vs SC Salgueiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.2%
Win probability
4.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.2%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.6%
7-0
3.2%
8-1
1.5%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.1%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
2.7%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.7%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
4.4%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
6.1%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.6%
5.5%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
5.5%
2.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
SAL
4 - 2
SLB
21%
19%
60%
|
87 | 48 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
SLB
5 - 0
VIT
95%
4%
2%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1945 |
SAL
0 - 6
SLB
6%
11%
83%
|
87 | 49 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
SLB
7 - 2
VST
86%
9%
6%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
SLB
7 - 2
FCP
79%
11%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
SAL
4 - 2
SLB
21%
19%
60%
|
48 | 87 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
BEL
14 - 1
SAL
93%
5%
2%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1945 |
SAL
0 - 6
SLB
6%
11%
83%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
SAL
4 - 7
EST
37%
23%
40%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
SAL
2 - 1
ACA
42%
21%
37%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |