Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 3-4
Benfica vs Sachsen Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1967 |
SLB
2 - 0
ATL
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
SCP
1 - 1
SLB
33%
25%
42%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
SLB
6 - 2
VAR
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
LEX
1 - 2
SLB
18%
22%
59%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1967 |
SLB
7 - 0
VIT
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sachsen Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1966 |
SAC
3 - 1
SLB
35%
23%
42%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1966 |
SDL
1 - 0
SAC
62%
21%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1966 |
SAC
2 - 1
SDL
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1966 |
LIE
1 - 2
SAC
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1966 |
WAR
2 - 2
SAC
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |