Europa League 1/16
Global 2-2
Benfica vs Rosenborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
NAC
3 - 2
SLB
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
SLB
2 - 1
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 2
SLB
24%
23%
53%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2004 |
SLB
2 - 0
ACA
81%
14%
5%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
CRV
0 - 1
RBK
30%
23%
47%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
RBK
3 - 1
BOG
67%
17%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
RBK
0 - 1
TRO
77%
14%
8%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
RBK
0 - 0
CRV
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
BRY
2 - 4
RBK
18%
20%
62%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |