Benfica vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 1
SLB
19%
23%
58%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
SLB
6 - 2
SPB
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
SLB
5%
13%
82%
|
84 | 39 | 45 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
SLB
13%
22%
65%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 2
MOR
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 1
PAÇ
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
FCP
2 - 1
RIO
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
SCP
5 - 2
RIO
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 2
BEL
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |