Benfica vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SLB
1 - 3
VCF
52%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
ARS
5 - 1
SLB
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
SLB
0 - 2
ATH
54%
24%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SLB
0 - 1
AJA
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SLB
1 - 0
RIO
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 0
GÖT
36%
27%
38%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
GÖT
0 - 1
RIO
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 2
EST
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 0
NTT
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
SCF
1 - 0
RIO
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |