Benfica vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 0
SLB
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
SLB
1 - 0
BEL
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
SLB
4 - 1
OLH
69%
21%
10%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SLB
1 - 0
SPB
61%
24%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 2
SLB
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
EST
2 - 0
RIO
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
RIO
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 1
SCP
22%
26%
52%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 1
BEL
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
RIO
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |