Benfica vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
SLB
0 - 1
VIL
35%
28%
37%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
NAV
1 - 1
SLB
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
SLB
2 - 0
EST
80%
15%
5%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 1
SLB
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
FCP
0 - 2
SLB
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
RIO
2 - 2
MAR
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
BEL
1 - 2
RIO
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
RIO
1 - 2
SPB
45%
27%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
RIO
1 - 1
BOA
43%
28%
30%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
NAV
1 - 0
RIO
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |