Benfica vs RD Agueda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92%
Win probability
3.71
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.6%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.8%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.8%
2.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
SLB
3 - 0
LIN
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
EST
1 - 4
SLB
14%
26%
59%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
SLB
1 - 0
RIO
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
VST
2 - 3
SLB
21%
27%
52%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
FCP
0 - 1
SLB
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
RD Agueda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
RDA
0 - 2
SPB
28%
28%
45%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
RDA
0 - 2
FCP
8%
20%
73%
|
48 | 88 | 40 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
EST
0 - 0
RDA
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |