Champions League Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Benfica vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
SLB
7 - 1
SPB
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SCP
1 - 1
SLB
57%
20%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1961 |
AGF
1 - 4
SLB
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
SLB
4 - 1
FAB
89%
8%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1961 |
SLB
3 - 1
AGF
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1961 |
AUS
2 - 1
RAP
57%
19%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1961 |
RAP
0 - 3
AWM
81%
11%
8%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
WIE
0 - 0
RAP
34%
22%
45%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
MAL
0 - 2
RAP
40%
22%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1961 |
SSL
3 - 2
RAP
34%
21%
45%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |