Benfica vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
TON
1 - 5
SLB
17%
23%
60%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
RIO
3 - 2
SLB
25%
26%
49%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
SLB
3 - 1
EST
80%
13%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2017 |
SLB
0 - 2
BAS
51%
22%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
FCP
0 - 0
SLB
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SCP
2 - 0
POR
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
POR
0 - 1
CHA
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
EST
0 - 0
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
POR
2 - 0
TON
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
FCP
3 - 2
POR
81%
14%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |