Benfica vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
58%
23%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCP
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
ESP
2 - 0
SLB
15%
26%
59%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
SLB
5 - 1
VST
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
BEL
0 - 3
SLB
18%
28%
54%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
POR
1 - 0
BOA
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
VST
0 - 1
POR
59%
25%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
POR
1 - 2
BEL
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
SCP
2 - 0
POR
74%
17%
8%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
POR
0 - 0
VIT
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |